9

Not For Hire
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 77
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Allowance · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2025 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 30% | -0.52 |
| 26/05/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 91% | +0.05 |
| 19/07/2025 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 57% | -0.34 |
| 16/08/2025 | 10th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 14/09/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 55% | -0.24 |
| 10/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 30/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |