5
Crypto Causeway
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 89
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength74%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 24/09/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 13/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 27/10/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 27/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 24/06/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |