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6

Puckish

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 87

Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

32%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Finger Lakes 25/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/06/2025 · OR 88 par25/06C5OR 88C5 @ Finger Lakes 16/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 86 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/07/2025 · OR 86 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 02/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 86 · 5f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/09/2025 · OR 86 par2/09C5OR 86C5 @ Finger Lakes 07/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 89 · 5f110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/10/2025 · OR 89 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 28/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 89 · 5f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/10/2025 · OR 89 par28/10C5OR 89C6 @ Finger Lakes 25/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 90 · 6f 121 · below its mark25/11/2025 · OR 90 parC5 @ Aqueduct 03/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 90 · 7f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/01/2026 · OR 90 par3/01C5OR 90C6 @ Finger Lakes 18/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 85 · 5f 122 · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 85 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 23/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 87 · 6f Gd 122 · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 87 par23/06C6OR 87projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-23Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-05-18Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-01-03Aqueduct?8th7th+1
2025-11-25Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2025-10-28Finger Lakes?1st0th+1
2025-10-07Finger Lakes?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/067/103/0123/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength99%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/06/20255th15/890%0%-0.90
16/07/20255th7/282%0%-0.82
02/09/20252nd6/168%80%+0.12
07/10/20252nd7/491%83%-0.07
28/10/20251st6/492%100%+0.08
25/11/20252nd6/492%75%-0.17
03/01/20268th14/126%13%-0.14
18/05/20262nd7/491%75%-0.16
23/06/20262nd11/486%75%-0.11