3
Lookie Here
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 53
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-01-02 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-09-06 | Monmouth Park | ? | 9th | 12th | −3 |
| 2025-07-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-05-25 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 26/07/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 06/09/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |