5
Bulldog Mike
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 39
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-09-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2025-08-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/09/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/11/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |