3
Gray V.
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 61
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength75%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 30/10/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 22/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 30/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |