9
Hunted Prayer
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 61
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength68%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-05-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-04-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 28/10/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 06/11/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 25/05/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 22% | -0.51 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 30/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |