10

Practical Justice
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 65
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength66%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-05-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-04-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-09-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength78%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 7th | 11/10 | 94% | 33% | -0.61 |
| 29/09/2025 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 10/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 22/06/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |