2
Reiteration
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 76
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength81%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-04-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2024-11-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength5%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2024 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 02/10/2024 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 29/10/2024 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 11/11/2024 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 22/04/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 13/05/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 03/06/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |