3

Asian Sun

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 57

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength35%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS16/07C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength11%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20268th40/10%22%+0.22