7

Raging Current

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 77

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength57%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Keeneland 05/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS5/10C6C6 @ Churchill Downs 31/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 52 · 7f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/10/2025 · OR 52 parC6 @ Fair Grounds 21/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 57 · 5f110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/11/2025 · OR 57 par21/11C6OR 57C6 @ Fair Grounds 20/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 66 · 5f110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 66 parC6 @ Fair Grounds 13/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 73 · 1m110y Fm 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/02/2026 · OR 73 par13/02C6OR 73C9 @ Oaklawn Park 22/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 73 · 6f 119 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 73 parC9 @ Oaklawn Park 18/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 71 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 71 par18/04C9OR 71C9 @ Churchill Downs 22/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 75 · 7f Gd 118 · below its mark22/05/2026 · OR 75 parC9 @ Churchill Downs 21/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 79 · 6f Fas 118 · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 79 par21/06C9OR 79projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-21Churchill Downs?6th6th0
2026-05-22Churchill Downs?10th10th0
2026-04-18Oaklawn Park?4th4th0
2026-03-22Oaklawn Park?4th4th0
2026-02-13Fair Grounds?6th3rd+3
2025-12-20Fair Grounds?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1020/1218/0421/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/10/20259th10/147%0%-0.47
31/10/202511th66/10%0%0.00
21/11/20254th40/10%73%+0.73
20/12/20258th20/10%36%+0.36
13/02/20266th16/116%0%-0.16
22/03/20264th12/137%50%+0.13
18/04/20264th9/276%63%-0.14
22/05/202610th4/179%0%-0.79
21/06/20266th20/10%50%+0.50