1
Right And Tight
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 77
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength81%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Finished in the top 3 in 5 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-04-09 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-03-19 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-03-03 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-01-24 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 16/08/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |
| 24/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 03/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 19/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 17/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |