Shidoni
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 65
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-04-24 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 26/02/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 19/03/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 14/04/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 29/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |