5
Super Pachi
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 62
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength73%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-09-12 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-06-18 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-05-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength9%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 05/06/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 18/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 23/08/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 12/09/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |