Bride

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 57

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 7f 110y

#11

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼2

Strength69%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.8

Today:

Class gap: +1.7

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-18	Ellis Park	?	7th	7th	0	3.0
2026-06-21	Churchill Downs	?	11th	8th	+3	2.0
2026-06-10	Churchill Downs	?	4th	1st	+3	9.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish10th of 14

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▼

Strength3%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
10/06/2026	4th	33/1	0%	40%	+0.40
21/06/2026	11th	20/1	0%	9%	+0.09
18/07/2026	7th	9/1	53%	33%	-0.19