3
Hot Dawg
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 52
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 7f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readWELL IN
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength75%
What the class read says
Strong hidden class form — has met tougher company than today and the bare form doesn't fully capture it. Should find this level easier.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |