5
Ignoring Alana
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 68
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 7f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength35%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |