Mo Town Foxy Brown

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 49

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 7f 110y

#14

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength26%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.2

Today:

Class gap: +1.3

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-18	Ellis Park	?	8th	8th	0	2.0
2026-06-05	Churchill Downs	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-05-09	Gulfstream	?	6th	1st	+4	8.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish11th of 14

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength25%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
09/05/2026	6th	8/1	58%	0%	-0.58
05/06/2026	6th	9/2	76%	0%	-0.76
18/07/2026	8th	9/1	53%	22%	-0.30