It's My Song

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 50

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼2

Strength77%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.6

Today:

Class gap: +1.9

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-08	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-06-15	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0
2026-05-25	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	5th	2nd	+3	8.0
2026-05-11	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	8th	5th	+3	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 10

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▲

Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
11/05/2026	8th	10/1	47%	13%	-0.35
25/05/2026	5th	66/1	0%	56%	+0.56
15/06/2026	7th	20/1	0%	25%	+0.25
08/07/2026	3rd	10/1	47%	82%	+0.34