5
Officer Gambill
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 58
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
74%
Place Prob
50%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength50%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-04-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 29/05/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 30/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 02/05/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 27% | -0.44 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 4/6 | 96% | 63% | -0.34 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |