2

Starspangledimage

6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 61

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength89%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/11/2024 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 59 · 6f Slo 124 · below its mark14/11/2024 · OR 59 par14/11C9OR 59C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 12/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 65 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2025 · OR 65 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 65 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/09/2025 · OR 65 par2/09C6OR 65C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 63 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/09/2025 · OR 63 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 66 · 6f 124 · below its mark30/09/2025 · OR 66 par30/09C9OR 66C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 64 · 1m70y Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 64 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 12/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 68 · 1m110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/11/2025 · OR 68 par12/11C6OR 68C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 61 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 61 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 62 · 1m110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 62 par15/07C6OR 62projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th3rd+3
2026-06-24Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th4th+3
2025-11-12Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th1st+3
2025-10-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd0th+3
2025-09-30Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2025-09-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1111/0912/1115/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength23%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/11/20245th2/189%50%-0.39
12/08/20253rd16/116%71%+0.56
02/09/20253rd13/266%75%+0.09
11/09/20257th9/276%14%-0.62
30/09/20252nd5/287%86%-0.01
22/10/20253rd12/137%71%+0.35
12/11/20254th11/486%50%-0.36
24/06/20267th16/116%45%+0.30
15/07/20266th25/10%38%+0.38