8
Turbeau Man
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 40
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 30/10/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 27/07/2026 | 11th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |