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10

Yalina

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 67

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f

#1

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

59%

Place Prob

37%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Churchill Downs 10/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 4f110y 11910/05C9C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 68 · 5f Gd 119 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 68 par15/06C6OR 68C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 66 · 5f Fm 119 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 66 par8/07C6OR 66projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-06-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-05-10Churchill Downs?4th7th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0515/068/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength44%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/05/20264th20/10%57%+0.57
15/06/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06
08/07/20263rd11/271%78%+0.07