7
Misty Moon Song
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 55
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 11
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength80%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 02/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |