11

Tiva

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 52

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f Fas 11710/06C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 33 · 5f 120 · beat its mark09/07/2025 · OR 33 par9/07C6OR 33C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 52 · 6f 120 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 52 par22/06C6OR 52C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 49 · 6f 120 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 49 par11/07C6OR 49C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 51 · 1m110y 120 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 51 par29/07C6OR 51projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-07-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-06-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2025-07-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2025-06-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/069/0722/0611/0729/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 11
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength32%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/06/20255th12/137%43%+0.06
09/07/20254th8/158%25%-0.33
22/06/20265th12/137%50%+0.13
11/07/20264th9/153%40%-0.13
29/07/20266th14/126%38%+0.11