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Bizzee Channel
10yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 95
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-16 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Fair Grounds | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-02 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 15
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 02/02/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 07/04/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 02/01/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 23/01/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |
| 16/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |