Henry The Hank
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 91
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-12-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2025-11-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 09/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 02/10/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 38% | -0.49 |
| 12/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 27/12/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 29/04/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 25/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |