7
Jailhouse Justice
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 102
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
88%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength91%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 19/11/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 17/12/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 04/01/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 18/01/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/02/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 73% | -0.06 |
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 88% | -0.03 |