IvyArcIvyArc
14

Leave It To Kitten

10yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 94

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#9

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 04/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 97 · 1m70y Fas 123 · below its mark04/08/2025 · OR 97 par4/08C7OR 97C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 17/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 95 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark17/09/2025 · OR 95 parC7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 101 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark13/10/2025 · OR 101 par13/10C7OR 101C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 93 · 1m Fm 121 · below its mark05/11/2025 · OR 93 parC8 @ Turfway Park 03/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 96 · 1m 120 · below its mark03/01/2026 · OR 96 par3/01C8OR 96C8 @ Turfway Park 13/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 84 · 1m Fas 120 · beat its mark13/02/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Turfway Park 28/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 85 · 1m Fas 123 · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 85 par28/02C8OR 85C8 @ Turfway Park 14/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 88 · 1m110y Fas 120 · below its mark14/03/2026 · OR 88 parC8 @ Turfway Park 28/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 89 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 89 par28/03C8OR 89projClass-projected finish: 5th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-28Turfway Park?3rd4th−1
2026-03-14Turfway Park?3rd4th−1
2026-02-28Turfway Park?7th8th−1
2026-02-13Turfway Park?1st2nd−1
2026-01-03Turfway Park?6th7th−1
2025-11-05Horseshoe Indianapolis?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/085/1128/0228/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/08/20255th10/147%20%-0.27
17/09/20257th40/10%33%+0.33
13/10/20258th14/126%30%+0.04
05/11/202511th50/10%9%+0.09
03/01/20266th14/126%50%+0.24
13/02/20261st20/10%100%+1.00
28/02/20267th14/126%45%+0.19
14/03/20263rd16/116%78%+0.62
28/03/20263rd6/168%78%+0.09