4
Nine Questions
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 92
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-01-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-12-12 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength78%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 18/09/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 02/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 12/12/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 08/01/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |