2
Bal A Kazoo
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 99
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 03/08/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 31/08/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 28/09/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 15/10/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |