12
Goodlookinjustice
5yo Horse · 8-7 · OR 106
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
91%
Place Prob
67%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-27 | Fair Grounds | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-04-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 27/08/2024 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 19/10/2024 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/04/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 25/06/2025 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 56% | -0.35 |
| 13/08/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 24/09/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 27/11/2025 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |