King Gerald
4yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 96
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-02-05 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 26/04/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 03/01/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 27% | -0.52 |
| 05/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 04/03/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |