3
Linzer
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 97
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 14/11/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |
| 20/12/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 07/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 14/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |