1
Mondavila
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 92
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-10-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 30/07/2025 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 36% | -0.46 |
| 21/08/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 04/09/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 01/10/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 05/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 07/04/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 22% | -0.51 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 03/06/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 13% | -0.61 |