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5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 105
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#10
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Keeneland | ? | 5th | -1th | +5 |
| 2026-03-13 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 30/11/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 15/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 43% | -0.47 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 04/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 21/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |