6
Scotty's On Edge
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 97
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-01-09 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 24/09/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/11/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 09/01/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 07/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 13/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |