8

Its A Ginger Thing

2yo Colt · 9-6 · OR 63

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Nursery · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Down the field in 3 novices but stable has a good record with nursery newcomers so an improved showing wouldn't surprise.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength84%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 9.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Windsor 29/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f12y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS29/0642 @ Newbury 09/07/2026 · Pos 15th of 18 · OR - · 6f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS9/0724 @ Lingfield 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 4f217y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS25/074projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Lingfield45th3rd+2
2026-07-09Newbury215th10th+4
2026-06-29Windsor48th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/069/0725/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength29%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/06/20268th25/10%30%+0.30
09/07/202615th33/10%18%+0.18
25/07/20265th18/15%33%+0.28