6

Najmet Minzaal

2yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 64

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Nursery · 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Similar form all 3 starts, including when fifth of 9 on nursery bow at Catterick 4 weeks ago. More needed but she's ready for 6f.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength71%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 18/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 5f21y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS18/0544 @ Lingfield 27/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 4f217y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS27/0646 @ Catterick 08/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 65 · 5f GF 135 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 65 par8/076OR 65projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Catterick65th5th0
2026-06-27Lingfield44th2nd+2
2026-05-18Wolverhampton44th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0527/068/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 12
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/05/20264th33/10%50%+0.50
27/06/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
08/07/20265th5/287%50%-0.37