Pageant Girl
2yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 65
Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Nursery · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Chepstow | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Newmarket | 2 | 8th | 3rd | +4 |
| 2026-04-25 | Ripon | 4 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-04-15 | Beverley | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 03/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 14% | -0.41 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |