10

Secret Rival

2yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 62

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Nursery · 6f

#12

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Standout effort came in a muddling affair at Newbury and well held at Chepstow either side of that. Makes nursery/all-weather debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chepstow 06/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f16y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS6/0644 @ Newbury 23/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS23/0644 @ Chepstow 16/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 5f16y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS16/074projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Chepstow47th5th+2
2026-06-23Newbury46th4th+2
2026-06-06Chepstow48th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0623/0616/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 12
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength30%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/06/20268th16/116%13%-0.03
23/06/20266th18/15%44%+0.39
16/07/20267th17/255%25%-0.30