4

Tallahassee Lassie

2yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 65

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Nursery · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

1/1

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

86%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Left previous form behind when making a winning nursery debut (well backed) at Ffos Las 3 weeks ago with a bit in hand. Return to 6f no issue and can go well again switched to the all-weather for the first time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength91%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Ascot 08/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 5f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS8/0524 @ Goodwood 12/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS12/0645 @ Leicester 25/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS25/0656 @ Ffos Las 14/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 61 · 5f Goo 132 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 61 par14/076OR 61projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Ffos Las61st1st0
2026-06-25Leicester53rd2nd+1
2026-06-12Goodwood45th3rd+2
2026-05-08Ascot26th1st+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0512/0625/0614/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength86%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/20266th12/137%55%+0.18
12/06/20265th9/276%43%-0.33
25/06/20263rd10/382%71%-0.11
14/07/20261st1/195%100%+0.05