11

Time And Effort

2yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 61

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Nursery · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Left previous efforts well behind following a break when second in Southwell maiden 2 weeks ago, always close up. Makes nursery debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength100%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Musselburgh 21/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 5f1y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS21/0522 @ Epsom Downs 05/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 6f3y Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS5/0625 @ Southwell 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 6f16y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS23/075projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Southwell52nd1st+1
2026-06-05Epsom Downs213th8th+4
2026-05-21Musselburgh24th-1th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/055/0623/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength88%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/05/20264th40/10%50%+0.50
05/06/202613th125/10%0%0.00
23/07/20262nd28/10%91%+0.91