IvyArcIvyArc
7

Off The Peg

2yo Colt · 9-7

Kempton · Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

28%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

60,000 foal, 150,000 yearling. No Nay Never colt. Brother to useful 2-y-o 5f winner His Majesty and half-brother to 6f (including at 2 yrs) winner Coill Avon. Dam winner up to 1m (2-y-o 6f winner). Offered something to work on when sixth in a Newbury novice and can put that experience to good use.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 02/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f GF 1282/074
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02Newbury46th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength30%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20266th16/116%44%+0.29