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Clive The Writer

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Kempton · Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

125/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

€27,000 foal, €28,000 yearling. Calyx gelding. Half-brother to winners abroad. Dam, French maiden, half-sister to useful 2-y-o 6.3f/7f winner Coral Beach. Produced a surprisingly promising first effort when mid-field in what is traditionally a strong Newbury novice and entitled to improve.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newbury 17/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f GF 13017/073
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Newbury37th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength23%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20267th125/10%45%+0.45