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Black Chiffon

3yo Filly · 9-6

Kempton · Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Night of Thunder filly. Half-sister to 1m winner Man of La Mancha. Dam, 2-y-o 7f winner, half-sister to useful 9f winner Mondego. Debut win in maiden at Salisbury in October has worked out well. Off since but extra 1f will suit so good chance she can defy a penalty.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Salisbury 02/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f213y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS2/102
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-10-02Salisbury21st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength89%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/10/20251st4/179%100%+0.21