5

Arklan

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Kempton · Becky Burke Memorial Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Div 1) · 1m 2f 219y

#8

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

34,000 gns Palace Pier gelding who showed a bit when fifth of 8 in novice at Windsor (11.4f, firm) on debut 37 days ago, not knocked about. Should at least know more this time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Windsor 29/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f99y GF 12929/063
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-29Windsor35th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/06/20265th12/137%43%+0.06