3
Barachiel
5yo Gelding · 9-13
Kempton · Becky Burke Memorial Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Div 1) · 1m 2f 219y
#9
Rank
Odds
150/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 9.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.1
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Aintree | 1 | 18th | 15th | +3 |
| 2026-03-24 | Taunton | 5 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-05-10 | Haydock | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Kempton | 4 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength25%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2025 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 10/05/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 11/04/2026 | 18th | 150/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |