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4

Digger One

5yo Gelding · 9-13

Kempton · Becky Burke Memorial Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Div 1) · 1m 2f 219y

#12

Rank

Odds

125/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Down the field in 2 bumpers 13 months apart and although he showed more second time up in this sphere, he was probably flattered in a modestly-run race.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Exeter 22/10/2024 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Goo 15422/1055 @ Chepstow 21/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 2m16y Sft 15621/1154 @ Windsor 15/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 14015/0643 @ Windsor 29/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f99y GF 14229/063projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-29Windsor34th4th0
2026-06-15Windsor49th10th−1
2025-11-21Chepstow59th11th−2
2024-10-22Exeter511th13th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1021/1115/0629/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength69%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/10/202411th22/10%9%+0.09
21/11/20259th80/10%20%+0.20
15/06/20269th150/10%33%+0.33
29/06/20264th125/10%57%+0.57