10
Mid Flight
3yo Gelding · 9-4
Kempton · Becky Burke Memorial Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Div 1) · 1m 2f 219y
#10
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 12.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | Dundalk | ? | 8th | 14th | −5 |
| 2025-09-16 | Punchestown | ? | 5th | 11th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 07/11/2025 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 42% | -0.41 |